Opinion: Will Sarah Palin Run? Yep—Just Not to the White House

Palin will undoubtedly toss her hat into the presidential ring, but she has her eye on the real prize—the open U.S. Senate seat in Arizona.

By Colleen O’Connor

The great guessing game is afoot. Will Sarah Palin run for president of the United States or not?

Pundits have weighed in. Republican strategist Karl Rove says “yes.”

Robert Costa, a political operative in the early primary state of Iowa, told National Review: “I believe that she will run. I can’t see her sitting this election out.”

New York Magazine says she won’t run.

And conservative radio talk show host Mark Levin tells The Daily Caller, that he believes Palin will run. “Just want to put my marker down because others are starting to do it and I put it down quite some time ago.”

In other words, nobody really knows, but wants to be the first to say, “I told you so.”

In that case, here is my marker.

Palin will run, but not just for the GOP nomination for president.

That is a given. What is less talked about, but I believe more certain, is that Palin, the woman who likes to “not retreat, but reload,” has a well-thought-out Plan B. 

That is, Palin will use the presidential primaries to raise her political profile, revive her supporters’ loyalty and enthusiasm, and guarantee her election to the open U.S. Senate seat in Arizona.

That is the real prize. She will run for two offices at once. One public.  The other one, stealth. And it is a well-thought-out plan.

See the logic? President Obama is weakest in the southern states. He is a highly polarizing figure in Arizona with the “illegal immigration” and “secure our borders” issues. Add Obamacare and the “death panels” barbs from Palin and you see the divide writ large.

Palin can spend months throwing these barbs straight at the president’s camp—which would endear her to whomsoever is the eventual GOP nominee—and simultaneously energize her base for a Senate run. 

Palin could also use the free national press and campaign forums to ramp up her attacks on the national debt, on unnecessary taxes and on any efforts to curb Medicare and Social Security. Think again: Arizona retirees.

Furthermore, she could collect lots of air time (in the debates, if she chooses) or on her bus tour, and simultaneously raise ooodles of money online. Her SarahPAC blog has legions of followers. Her new movie is making the rounds. And she is a prized catch for speaking invitations all over the Midwest. Add state fairs and summer picnics and you can imagine the Norman Rockwell images.

Arizona can have Sarah Palin the 'SCANDAL FACTORY' representing their interests!

In short, Palin has become her own political weather system. That is what the press fails to understand. Every moose hunter knows which way the wind blows and has a well-thought-out escape route. Their life depends on it. And Palin plans accordingly.

Thus, Arizona. Palin recently bought a house there. Her running mate in 2008, Sen. John McCain, lives there. Republican Sen. Jon Kyl is retiring, which leaves the seat open for Palin—should she accept the assignment. And Republicans are not an endangered species there.

That is my bet on Palin’s ultimate chess move. She takes the presidential stage, retreats gracefully, grabs the U.S. Senate seat, and lives to reload and fight another day. It may seem counterintuitive, but few have guessed her best moves yet.

In the spirit of full disclosure, I wrote a column that dubbed Palin’s resignation as governor of Alaska a “brilliant political move” at a time when the national media called it a disaster and the death knell for Palin.

Since then, she has fooled most everyone who predicted her demise.  In short order, she became a best-selling author, a multimillionaire, the host of a Discovery Channel series on Alaska, a Fox News contributor, a brand name draw for conservative audiences, crowd-pleaser, and—proud owner of a new home in Arizona.

Just saying. Think about it.



18 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. Millie
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 16:53:26

    AZ people don’t want her in their state (after her Gabby disaster) much the same as Alaskans don’t want her in ours. She is a total embarrassment to both states and the nation.


  2. Syrin
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 16:59:18

    Isn’t it interesting.. That this woman, a political weather system has no aspirations to politic in the state that she used and abused? Happily I believe it’s because only once will the people of Alaska be fooled by a fraud, liar and scandal factory! However, the rest of country, namely Arizona will have to get educated on these tractics… fast! She may hit every state, every party until she’s elected somewhere!


  3. Sarah HalfTime
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 17:00:41

    Well this Alaskan is glad Sarah Heath Palin couldn’t find the inner morals and strength to uphold the oath of office for Govenor of Alaska.

    Was it brillant? For my family, YES.


  4. Syrin
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 17:13:48

    BTW, author as usual may not really have a clue to who Sarah Palin is or how she’s acted in the past. Retreat gracefully? Sarah can not do anything…. gracefully Reload for another day? Asking.. what does Sarah reload? Her ignorant, vindictive and usually unimportant tweets and Facebook messages?


  5. nswfm
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 17:56:05

    Blow that sham half-governor’s skeleton closet wide open already!


  6. dz
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 18:31:08

    I so fear you may be correct and thought she was angling for the AZ Senate seat when she bought the mini-mansion. But — I was encouraged when it was exposed that she didn’t buy it in her personal name and figured that would prevent her from establishing residency requirements. She would never be elected Prez but she might have a half chance to get elected with the right-wing domination in AZ. Aaarrrrgghhhh! She would be a living nightmare in the U.S. Senate as we see how much crazy Bachmann can quilt in the House.

    My neighbor is a bit of a gun nut and I told her if any of the crazy right-wing bunch gets control of this Country I was giving her carte blanche to just ‘shoot me now’. She is sort of a liberal so I doubt she’d take me up on it.


    • Millie
      Aug 24, 2011 @ 20:51:37

      I really don’t think she’d be elected in AZ. All because of her ‘blood libel’ comment regarding Gabby. Folks aren’t going to forget that and I’m sure people across the nation and from Alaska would get in the middle of that campaign should she run for the vacant seat. She’s a fraud!


  7. akbagirly
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 19:27:13

    I believe that there is a very popular Republican polititician who is planning on running for that seat and is an actual, real live Arizonan.

    That is the only flaw that I see in this supposed plot.


  8. Dis Gusted
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 19:51:06

    “Thus, Arizona. Palin recently bought a house there.”

    Thought the sale fell through because of fraud. There are questions about the validity of the sale and the ‘tainted’ title. There were at least two fraudulent signatures involved in the re-financing. There were also fraudulent signatures in the foreclosure before Palin’s LLC purchased the home.

    OTOH – Palin denies buying the property for a run at John Kyle’s US Senate seat….so she probably is going to give it a whirl. She lies…you know. All the time….for no reason whatsoever.


  9. moles
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 21:07:57

    She is rapidly becoming the national punch line. I’d be surprised if Arizonians have let their senses of humour deteriorate to the point of putting her in the Senate, particularly after her cringe making response to the Gifford shooting.


  10. WakeUpAmerica
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 21:56:46

    She was asked point blank if she would run for the Senate seat and said, without hesitation, no. She had no interest in it. I suspect that she is probably very unpopular in AZ because of the shooting of their beloved Gabby Gifford.


  11. FEDUP!!!
    Aug 24, 2011 @ 23:05:16

    Mmmmmmmm… NO! I don’t think she will run for either of the two Senate seats because of at least 2 reasons: a) she insists that she still lives in Alaska -and her buy of that mansion was mired in fraud, and b) she would have to be a legal resident of Arizona for a few years (forgot how many) before she could run for a seat. While being a legal resident in Arizona, she could not be also, too a legal resident of Alaska. Even though the $2k/resident is chum change, she is greedy enough to not want to give up that free money she and her family gets up there.


  12. grammy11
    Aug 25, 2011 @ 05:07:09

    I agree with FEDUP. What about Todd? She couldn’t take him to the Senate floor with her. Would he stay buried in her Senate office? I don’t think so. Spouses don’t have desks in a Senator’s office. What would she do without him by her side?


  13. climber357
    Aug 25, 2011 @ 07:27:53

    ¨She will run for two offices at once.¨

    The author, Colleen, is poking sarah in the eye. It is going to be hard to top that prediction about a person who is not running for any office.


  14. Martha
    Aug 25, 2011 @ 13:00:17

    The Turd Blossom, Karl Rove, has NO love for Palin and Colleen O’Connor is unnecessarily ignorant about her subject matter. She is just another journalist that loves to use Palin to get attention without researching anything about her. If Huffington Post put up a picture of Palin and wrote NOTHING about her they would still receive hundreds of hits…that’s why the MSM doesn’t want to let her go AND why folks like Colleen can write wild speculation about her without any facts or knowledge.

    Karl Rove Blasts Sarah Palin’s ‘Enormous Thin Skin’ About Campaign Speculation
    by Frances Martel | 11:12 pm, August 24th, 2011

    Rove lashed out at Palin’s statement that his speculation on her candidacy was wrong by repeatedly referring to her “thin skin” and daring Palin to “end the speculation” and say she isn’t running if such speculation upsets her.

    Van Susteren began the conversation asking Rove what it was about Palin that kept the media speculating, which Rove took as an opportunity to address a SarahPAC statement attacking him for having said that Palin’s schedule in the upcoming months looks like the schedule of a presidential candidate.

    “I’m mystified,” he admitted, “that she’s all upset about this, that I’m somehow trying to sabotage her campaign, sabotage her in some way, and how dare I speculate on her future.” Rove also responded angrily that “if she doesn’t want to be speculated about as a potential presidential candidate, there’s an easy way to end the speculation,” yet whenever the issue comes up, “she says ‘I haven’t made a decision.” Rove concluded adding a jab at Palin’s lust for attention, calling it a “sign of enormous thin skin that if we speculate about her, she gets upset, and I suspect that if we didn’t speculate about her, she’d be upset about it and trying to find a way to get us to speculate about her.”

    Van Susteren tried to bring Rove back from that precipice, asking him to instead “reflect on the media” and the fact that they continue covering her. Rove admitted that she was “a potentially big factor in the presidential election,” and that “if she were to get in, she’d be a contender.” That said, Rove concluded by calling Palin thin-skinned another two times before the segment ended– abruptly, without a goodbye, cut into by a “news break” that likely could’ve waited the extra three seconds.



  15. tom
    Aug 25, 2011 @ 13:35:07

    this writer doesnt have a clue.

    palin became what she is because she has a small but crazed following willing to spend their money on her.
    to equate that with national acceptance is not only silly but boarders on intentional misleading.

    fox news enables her and the masses have made it known they want no part of her.
    to think she could draw support nationally is another pipe dream only her loons subscibe to.

    and lastly to believe that palin would give up what she really wants…and feels most comfortable at..being a celeb, for a chair in the senate(that i do not believe she can win) is just more lunacy.


  16. grammy11
    Aug 27, 2011 @ 07:46:56

    Today Politico.com asks,” Palin a “scam artist?”. I thinks so. She reminds me of a group of gypsies getting cash any way they can. While Palin, her family and friends live on the Pac and legal fund money for 3 years, they just keep begging for more. Except for the few minutes each month on Fox news, she hasn’t had a job but manages to live the good life on OPM. Anyone think she will be running for the highest political office in the land? I don’t. I believe she is staying in the public eye for the money her cult provides while keeping her laywers, friends and family subserviant to her for her money.


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