A Palin candidacy would seem unnecessary to primary voters once Perry is in the race

Is Door Closed on Palin?

By Seth Mandel  

In April, Human Events published a column offering ten reasons Sarah Palin​ will run for president. Last month, Fox News​ host Greta Van Susteren blogged about the seven reasons Palin will run for president. Then last week, Henry D’Andrea, writing in the Washington Times, offered three reasons he believes Palin will run for president.

If only I had a brain

Though I’ve been skeptical all along that Palin would run, I would imagine the entrance of Rick Perry​ into the race will give Palin one very good reason not to. Perry’s candidacy has, as many others have pointed out, put several of the Republican campaigns on life support. As I wrote last week, the latest Gallup poll numbers show once Perry is included, Republican primary voters show substantially less interest in candidates outside the field. There may still be calls for Paul Ryan or Chris Christie to get in the race, but Perry has quieted the clamoring for “someone else.” But the numbers also show why he easily replaces Palin.

Perry has two impressive numbers in the Gallup polling: his overall placement (second, right behind Mitt Romney​) and his “positive intensity score.” Gallup defines this as “the difference between strongly favorable and strongly unfavorable opinions among those who are familiar with him or her. This score provides an indication of the intensity of support among a candidate’s base of followers at any given point in the campaign.”

Someone is making an ASS out of herself

In the most recent Gallup polling, Perry’s positive intensity score is at 23, five points higher than Palin’s 18. The full poll, however, shows when Perry and Palin are in the race together, Perry polls at 15 percent to Palin’s 12. (The poll includes Rudy Giuliani​ as well.) Additionally, Perry has the kind of grassroots support, popularity with conservative new media and solid reputation among conservative evangelical voters from which Palin would build a campaign.

For Palin to run, she would need to focus her firepower on a moderate establishment candidate, like Romney. But Perry may well begin his official campaign as either the frontrunner or close to it. A Palin candidacy would seem unnecessary to primary voters once Perry is in the race. I’m sure speculation will continue, but Perry seems to have closed the door on a Palin candidacy this year.


23 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. Sally
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 11:17:05

    She won’t care. She is not yet done tearing down this country for her own gain.


  2. climber357
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 11:41:00

    ¨…Perry seems to have closed the door on a Palin candidacy this year.¨

    Nope, don´t agree. Katie Couric slammed that door so hard sarah is afraid to peek out of it.


  3. Syrin
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 12:14:43

    Funny but there is ONE reason why Sarah Palin should NOT run for president.
    She is a fraud, highly incompetent and has been recognized to have abused power as an elected offical ( executive). YOU don’t elect these kind of people! You don’t perpetuate them to a the highest position in the land using a false narrative, you don’t give them a platform to comment unintelligently on important policy issues and continue to ask them when they’re running for president not what are your qualifications…….. or do you?


    • dz
      Aug 10, 2011 @ 18:04:01

      Amen sister! Abuse of power should be enough. Campaigning on a false record of her government jobs (mayor, committee, governor) should be more than enough. But obviously to a certain segment of the voting public, it’s not a big deal and, in fact, defensively buy into her denials despite much published proof to the contrary. Silly as some of her other antics may be, they must be kept in the spotlight too. The bright lights of truth just may help a few disinformed Americans see the real $P.


    • moles
      Aug 10, 2011 @ 23:08:08

      I quite agree. Add to that she’s a craven coward, won’t part with the money, and is terrified of the flak coming her way after the three books on her term as Governor. It’s one thing to lob grenades from her Fox/Facebook bunker, it’s another thing altogether to front and face the MSM and public scrutiny she’d encounter if she actually decided to run. I really don’t think she’s got the guts.


  4. WakeUpAmerica
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 15:17:13

    Once Perry declares, Palin will have her reason to not run. Someone with her “values” will have entered the field. The catch is that she will be forced to back him. I’m not sure that is palatable to her.


  5. m10690
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 17:39:56

    I might tend to agree, but what about her tweet linking to an article that blasts Perry’s fiscal policies? Sounds to me like she’s throwing him under the bus with the others. She’s not going to back anyone because SHE is the chosen one. Doncha see that?! And if she’s chosen by god, then why should she declare now? If she does jump in, someone better call Faux News out on keeping her on while dumping Huckster and Gingrich.


  6. Ron
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 17:54:32

    Perry is nothing compared to Sarah!


  7. Doods
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 17:56:17

    Its an absolute insult if Sarah is compared to Perry. She is a force.


  8. sallyngarland,tx
    Aug 10, 2011 @ 21:35:32

    Perry used Palin in 2010 and I think he will want to lose her for 2012, though. He knows she is toxic. If he felt Palin could run this country, he wouldn’t be entering the race plus he’s not that stupid. Perry has powerful people and money behind him. Perry has never lost an election and he knows how to destroy an opponent. He has the resources for his people to dig up info and leak it. I do believe Perry could, and might destroy, Palin poiltically. No matter what Palin does, she can’t compete with Perry’s 10 yr Governor record and he won’t want her telling him what to do and think via twitter and facebook..

    I believe Palin’s bus tour, though, will this time truly reveal Palin for the attention seeker she is.
    I’ve heard in Texas that she is an embarrassment to the big money GOP donors. I actually think part of the Perry push has been not only to have him be the GOP nominee, but also to keep her out of the race.

    Palin has appointed herself the pseudo President via twitter and Facebook.. Even if a Republican beats Obama, it looks like she intends to make their life hell. her vindictiveness never stops screaming.

    I also can see a scenario where Palin totally destroys the Republican party through chaos and confusion. There’s a definition of an addict that fits Palin: ” the person goes through everyone else’s life like a tornado and leaves the pieces for everyone else to pick up.” I’ve always referred to her as a dark cloud–just an eery dark cloud.


    • Syrin
      Aug 10, 2011 @ 22:05:13

      Even if a Republican beats Obama, it looks like she intends to make their life hell. her vindictiveness never stops….. OMG! You are completely correct on your prediction. I did not every consider that in the whole scheme of the things that this woman would do. Could you imagine


    • moles
      Aug 10, 2011 @ 23:18:37

      I think a lot of what you say is true; but to me it underlines just what a hopeless hold on reality Palin has. This unshakable faith she has in her own worthlessness is not shared by any of the GOP movers and shakers, and when she becomes too much of a liability to them I think she’s going to tread on a dozen land mines they’ve planted right under her feet, with detonators just waiting to be activated. The ensuing carnage won’t be pretty, but oh how thoroughly deserved.


      • sallyngarland,tx
        Aug 10, 2011 @ 23:30:08

        To me, Palin just seems like an abusive stalker. She’s seriously deranged. . On John King’s Cnn program tonight, even the Republican strategist was laughing about Palin and said she acted like someone in high school.

    • moinkslinger
      Aug 11, 2011 @ 09:54:20

      I wish every American would write Sarah Palin a letter and request a $100 donation for their summer vacation fund. This shameless hussy has no problem asking the taxpayers of this country to contribute money so Mother Goose Palin can take her band of children, stepchildren, grandchildren and family members on a waddle through their second summer vacation via SarahPac.


  9. DebinOH
    Aug 11, 2011 @ 17:37:36

    Never in my lifetime could I have ever imagined that we could have three THREE such horrible people running for president (Bachmann, Palin – maybe, and Perry). You think our country is becoming more enlightened and here we have people who want to throw us back to the 1700’s. How did this ever happen?

    Not only that but the rest of the bunch aren’t too much better (of course, that is good for us) but the fact that they are signing pledges for the most ridiculous things all because they are too afraid they won’t be elected is absurd.

    Moles – The republicans sold their soul when they courted the religious right and it is going to cost them. McCain sold what he had left of his soul and I really really despise this man for ever letting the queen get near the lower 48. He opened up a can of worms and that can stinks to high heaven. So far the republican seem like a bunch of wimps to me. We all know they want rid of Palin and people just like her but how are they going to do it?

    PS – I will get out my popcorn and have a great party when it eventually happens. It will not be pretty. Just can’t wait til they all get some ballz.


  10. moles
    Aug 11, 2011 @ 21:01:46

    Right again; but if they don’t destroy her relevance the Republicans are doomed as a party, or even more so than they are at the moment. They took the shortcut to get the numbers, now they’re paying for it. The tail is now wagging the dog and the lunatic right are pushing their own mad agendas down the country’s throat, or at least are trying to. I can’t think of anything bad enough to visit on McCain to punish him for giving this loathsome woman the oxygen of publicity.


    • Syrin
      Aug 11, 2011 @ 21:16:03

      Local Conservative Blogger: Palin is McCain’s Worst Mistake.
      Sherry Whitstine, a local conservative blogger, was dumbfounded … about choosing Palin as his running mate..”probably the worst mistake of his entire life”


  11. hockeynana
    Aug 12, 2011 @ 07:40:59

    DooIts said: “It is an absolute insult if Sarah is compared to Perry. She is a force.”
    Oops..I see you have a typo in this comment. “She is a farce.” There, I fixed it for you. No thanks necessary.


  12. tom
    Aug 12, 2011 @ 10:44:36

    hate to tell you this but there is NOT some huge wave of voters waiting around for palin to announce.
    the biggest reason why she never will run is because she could never get the nomination let alone actually become president.

    she will not face defeat nor face the scrutiny and as i havebeen predicting all along…she never will run and is satisfied now with making money.

    in case you havnt been watching palin is a joke to everyone but her small group of supporters.


  13. Beaglemom
    Aug 13, 2011 @ 06:21:46

    I personally think that all of the Republican contenders are dreadful and scary. Not one of them cares about the American people; they’re tripping over themselves in Iowa to impress — corporations, because they want their money. But, Rick does have fewer bad hair days than Sarah.


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