Trouble Ahead for Sarah Palin in 2012

By Jason Easley

The Des Moines Register released their new 2012 GOP poll for the state of Iowa today, and as expected the three most well known names, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, and Sarah Palin lead the pack. What is a surprise isn’t the overwhelming favorability of Romney, but the high unfavorabilily rating for Palin, who is not favored by 39% of the state’s Republicans.

The Des Moines Register poll did not measure preference, but instead focused on favorability. Romney had the highest favorable at 62%. He was closely followed by Sarah Palin at 58% and Newt Gingrich at 56%. Where the potential candidates separate themselves is in unfavorables. Romney has a very low unfavorable rating of 26%. Gingrich is second at 33%, and Palin is third at 39%. Another negative working against Palin is that almost all those surveyed have made their minds up about her. Only 3% of those surveyed were not sure about her, compared to 12% for Romney and 11% for Gingrich.

The problem that Sarah Palin is going to face not only in Iowa, but through out the 2012 campaign is that there are a substantial number of Republicans who have serious doubts and reservations about her. Her favorability issues are compounded by the fact that the American electorate has already made its mind up about her. While it is true that Palin is just as popular as any of the other Republican contenders, she is also more disliked by people in her own party than any of the other contenders.


Sarah Palin: Favorable Rating 34.9% – Unfavorable Rating 53.8 %

Polls like the one in Iowa highlight the potential limitations of Sarah Palin as a presidential candidate. Voters, and a sizable number of Republicans, don’t like her. Most importantly, she has been so overexposed that people have already made up their minds about her. Instead of working to change this perception, Palin continues to reinforce it with erratic behavior, fence building, and celebrity feuds. Just because this poll shows that there are real trouble signs for Palin in 2012, doesn’t mean that she should not be taken seriously. The 2012 GOP field is so weak, that even a deeply flawed candidate, who has no chance of winning a general election, like Palin, has a chance to win.

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20 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. Syrin from Wasilla
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 09:56:00

    Trouble ahead for Sarah Palin? Yeah, being found to have 'ABUSED POWER' 'Stealing from the state of Alaska' and quitting after showing herself to be a liar and the most incompetent and unethical public offical that Alaska has ever seen, possibly the country..
    Finally! Finally!! There might be TROUBLE AHEAD for Sarah Palin….


  2. sjohnson
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 11:52:00

    One thing I have never seen mentioned about this interview is that Palin appeared to have notes in her lap that she was consulting. If you watch the whole thing, you will see her look into her lap as though she is reading something and looking for an answer. What a dipstick with lipstick! It's a pretty sad commentary about humanity when someone as totally stupid as this woman can get so far in politics.


  3. Snowy
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 16:17:00

    Imagine that airhead with a finger on the nuclear button. There's no way that the GOP harder heads will allow that to happen. I think Romney is the front runner, and that's more a comment on the lack of quality of the opposition than anything.


  4. ken
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 18:02:00

    after 4 full years of obummer in office,america will be happy to return to a republic,and have this progressive/socialist/communist/tyrant out of their memories..


  5. sjohnson
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 19:55:00

    Well, now let's see. Hmmmm, Bush was in office for what um, nine months and we had the worst terrorist attack in the history of this republic. Oh yeah, it was on his watch. Oh yeah he is the one who either didn't read the August PDB or didn't pay attention when it said that Bin Laden was determined to strike in the US. He is the one who did nothing when told that Al Qaeda was enrolling students in American flight schools. Uh huh. Also during those nine months, Bush was on vacation more than any other president in history. Yep, also let's not forget the financial crisis he and his administration helped (but not single-handedly) to orchestrate. Yep, I'll take Obama and his faults any day over that group of clowns. Oh, and praise the Lord we didn't get Dipshit and Lipstick instead of Obama. Where do you think we would be with them at the helm? Let me help you, directly under a nuclear mushroom cloud.


  6. Snowy
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 22:23:00

    Palin just looked like a deer caught in the headlights. She clearly had no idea what Katie was talking about, same as in the VP debate. She just recited a few soundbites whether they were relevant to the debate or not. I don't know what the men in grey suits were thinking when they unleashed her on the U.S. public. They must have been desperate. Or stupid. You have to wonder at the mentality of those who would compare her favourably to Obama. Whatever his real or imagined faults, he has a lot more going for him than Palin. I still think that when she's made her millions in the run up to the election, she'll decline to run "because she wants to devote more time to her family" or some such nonsense.


  7. sjohnson
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 22:25:00

    It will be a hard choice for her as she craves power and appears to despise the day-to-day duties of a mom.


  8. sjohnson
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 22:28:00

    Here is a link for the segment where she looks down at her lap repeatedly like she is reading notes.


  9. Snowy
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 22:50:00

    Yes, she obviously has a list of talking points as Katie mentions, but just doesn't have the knowledge to build on them. Oh well, the longer she hangs around, the less Obama has to worry about a second term. It still bothers me that someone of her clearly limited intelligence could even be remotely considered an option for POTUS. I suppose there's a lot more like her out there that she appeals to.


  10. sjohnson
    Jun 14, 2010 @ 23:33:00

    Yes, it really is depressing, isn't it?


  11. ken
    Jun 15, 2010 @ 16:42:00

    umm,9 months after elected,then by,obama's and you socialists math 911 belongs in clintons lap,and where was obama the day after this leak happened,where was obama when memphis was drowning,has obama said one word about the floods in arkansas,this guy doesn't even know he's president, he's to busy running around the country smiling,does he need a job desciption?


  12. sjohnson
    Jun 15, 2010 @ 22:22:00

    9 months after he was sworn into office, Hemorrhoid. And don't bring in "you socialists." My remarks represent only me. Also too, Mr. Obtuse, the topic you are responding to is who was the truly crappy, lying, run the country like a dictator and put it in the toilet president. Let me help you. That would be Bush et al. So get over yourself. You know very well that Obama was handed a barge of garbage from the Bush administration. He can't fix 8 years of tearing down America by Bush and Co. in one, two, or probably even four years. Also, it isn't like he gets to make all the decisions. We have the party of no throwing up roadblocks all along the way. Finally, as I said before, Bush was asleep at the wheel and allowed the worst terror attack in the history of the US to happen on HIS WATCH!!


  13. Snowy
    Jun 15, 2010 @ 23:37:00

    Hemorrhoid. ;o)


  14. ken
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 12:47:00

    just what i thought faulty math,faulty reasoning,carter tried to blame everything on nixon,and still obama and his followers try to blame everything on bush,more finger pointing,more ignorence,more lack of responsibility.carter has gone done as the worst president in modern history until you keep bringing up ''bush' everytime obama fails to be a leader,i'll keep laughing..


  15. ken
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 12:50:00

    umm,the head up his azz socialist fixates on the word hemorriod,nothing more needs to be said……………….


  16. sjohnson
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 13:31:00

    Are you familiar with the 911 commission report? The Shrub was asleep at the wheel.


  17. sjohnson
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 19:19:00

    To clarify regarding calling you a hemorrhoid: A-holes have a function. Hemorrhoids only exist to block and irritate. Get the idea?


  18. ken
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 20:19:00

    stop ignoring the truth,stop making end runs around reality,if bush is to blame for everything that obama screws up,then clinton is responsible for the mess bush got,much in the same way carter was at fault for everything that reagan had to straighten out…..get your head out of your backside…when you take a job you take the good with the bad,how you deal with it is the mesure of who you are,so far all obama has done is smiled and said bush did it,that and spent 13 trillion dollars……..


  19. sjohnson
    Jun 16, 2010 @ 21:01:00

    Bwahahahahahaha! Hypocrite! Your head is so far up your ass, I think I can see you blinking when your mouth opens. You are nothing more than smoke and mirrors and broad generalities. Related to the Tundra Turd are ya? Must be a genetic trait. Ignoring the truth? Clinton warned Bush about Bin Laden, but Bush ignored the advice, ignored the August PDB, and consequently set us up for the worst terrorist attack in US history. Those are the facts. And yet people like you claim he kept us safe. I suppose you discard the findings of the 911 commission. Bush will go down in history as the worst president this country ever had. He and Cheney should be tried for war crimes.


  20. patricia m gaban
    May 25, 2011 @ 18:55:30

    sarah palin may have made a few weak comments earlier on but on the whole she has shown she is inteligent and credible. overall she is good and can make a good president. the critics are really putting her down for not being the perfect person. nobody is perfect but what america need is a president who can perform well and strongly to bring back the good american values that has made america strong. you do need someone like sarah palin to slow down the continuing american demise.


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